Why do American cars lose their value so quickly?
“Residual value giants 2025”: Electric cars have a problem with loss of value
Focus Online and the consulting institute Bähr & Fess Forecast have published a forecast for the “residual value giants 2025”. Electric cars therefore have a depreciation problem. The prospects for gasoline and diesel engines are currently even better.
Electromobility is on the advance, German politics and industry have meanwhile largely committed to the alternative type of drive. Higher fuel prices and CO2 taxes as well as extensive support for the purchase of electric cars and plug-in hybrids are increasingly shaping the market. This also affects the expected price development.
"We're sitting here behind the fence and watching a technology slowly but surely disappear, and that basically also applies to gasoline engines," says Dieter Fess from Bähr & Fess. At the same time, however, the high purchase premiums and rapid technological advances in e-models also caused great uncertainty in the residual value forecast. In the last determination of the residual value giants in the electrical segment, the mid-range Tesla Model 3 was ahead. However, due to the frequently changing, and in some cases significantly falling, prices, the depreciation of the US car is difficult to calculate - "a real problem, especially for fleet customers," according to the experts at Bähr & Fess.
The technical progress in electric cars, in turn, “shoots up” the residual values of manufacturers, dealers and private sellers: “In some cases, the ranges almost double with a new generation of models. That of course makes the previous generation anything but attractive, ”says Dieter Fess.
Residual value giants 2025
According to the determination of the residual value giants in 2025, gasoline-powered vehicles are still the most stable in value. Vehicles with smaller engines in particular can often be found at the top of the list among the winners. The diesel is currently fighting against the plug-in hybrids - "because if you say I need power and low consumption at the same time, you can do it at least as well with plug-in hybrids," says Dieter Fess.
In the electric car segment, Bähr & Fess selected the new Škoda Enyaq iV 50 SUV as the winner with the best residual value prospects. This car will still have 50.5 percent of the new purchase price three years after the purchase. Compared to many petrol or diesel models, however, this is a high expected loss of value. On the one hand, this is due to the problem of market distortion caused by the federal government's funding policy, which ultimately makes the acquisition or leasing of a new electric car cheaper than a used model. Stromer would also get better "too quickly".
According to the analysis, Seat Mii electric is the winner in the category “Lowest depreciation in euros”. The one with the VW e-up! and the Škoda CitigoE iV structurally identical small car is a discontinued model.
In the case of the plug-in hybrids that combine combustion and electric motors, as in the previous evaluation, Mercedes ranks first among the residual value giants: There, with a residual value of 54.5 percent, the compact SUV Mercedes GLC 300 e is found. The Hyundai Ioniq 1.6 GDI station wagon is at the forefront of plug-in hybrids in terms of absolute value retention.
Bähr & Fess notes that the plug-in hybrids, which are subsidized by the state like electric cars, are displacing diesel, especially in the company car segment, but they have the same problems as pure electric cars: The next generation offers more electric range and thus does that Predecessor unattractive. This is reflected in the realizable sales prices.
Tags: residual valueDrive: electric car, hybrid vehicles
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